Revisiting Exchange Rate Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables in China using Time-Varying VAR Model
نویسندگان
چکیده
In this study we analyze exchange rate shocks in China on its macroeconomic variables by apply TVP-VAR modeling approach. Three-dimensional impulse response functions reveal that GDP, CPI and interest are affected the short run long run. Our findings have important policy implications for Chinese government conducting policy.
منابع مشابه
The Effect of Unification of Exchange Rate on Macroeconomic Variables in Iran Using the Computable General Equilibrium Model (CGE)
There are several reasons for using the unification of exchange rate policy, which is usually associated with the devaluation.The extent of these policies' influences on the economy is very extensive, especially when the economy is relying on single-product exports and has high foreign-exchange reserves. These policies affect the demand side of the economy through the exports and imports channe...
متن کاملThe Exchange Rate and Macroeconomic Determinants: Time-Varying Transitional Dynamics
In this paper, I consider modeling the effects of the macroeconomic determinants on the nominal exchange rate to be channeled through the transition probabilities in a Markovian process. The model posits that the deviation of the exchange rate from its fundamental value alters the market’s belief in the probability of the process staying in certain regime next period. This paper further takes i...
متن کاملThe Effect of Exchange Rate, Oil Prices and Global Inflation Shocks on Macroeconomic Variables for the Iranian Economy in the form of a DSGE Model
T he world economy has experienced a bulk of positive and negative shocks in crude oil prices and exchange rates over the years, and that global inflation has undergone some changes. Such shocks have affected the macroeconomic variables in the countries of the world and have challenged the economies of these countries, and have led them to take different measures to protect themselves agai...
متن کاملA Study of the Real Exchange Rate Behavior and its Effects on Macroeconomic Variables
In this article, real exchange rate behavior and its effects on macroeconomic variables are studied by explaining two models; impulse function and forecasting predicted error decomposition. Studies show that high artificial currency value has caused domestic and foreign accounts equilibrium disturbance and foreign income decrease due to the slackening of commercial and agricultural activities, ...
متن کاملan appropriate model for exchange rate predictability in iran: comparing potential forecastability
nowadays in trade and economic issues, prediction is proposed as the most important branch of science. existence of effective variables, caused various sectors of the economic and business executives to prefer having mechanisms which can be used in their decisions. in recent years, several advances have led to various challenges in the science of forecasting. economical managers in various fi...
ذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The economics and finance letters
سال: 2022
ISSN: ['2312-430X', '2312-6310']
DOI: https://doi.org/10.18488/29.v9i2.3104